EB-1 China priority date: cut-off history, movement and forecast
As of the October 2026 Visa Bulletin, the EB-1 China Final Action Date is 1 Jul 2023, which lags the bulletin month by about 3.3 years. Over the last 12 bulletins it moved an average of 16 days per month (0.52 months of priority date per calendar month), so on pure arithmetic the backlog age is growing. Since October 2015 it has retrogressed in 2 bulletins; the largest move back was 912 days in September 2019.
1 Jul 2023Final Action Date, Oct 2026
1 Jul 2024Date for Filing, Oct 2026
3.3 yearscut-off lags bulletin month
+16 d/moavg. movement, last 12 bulletins
Chart: where the cut-off has been
Hover or focus points for values. Priority dates below the line are not yet reached; the vertical gap to the dashed diagonal is the backlog age.Final Action Date since January 2005.
Final Action DateDate for FilingNo wait (cut-off = bulletin month)○ Current ✕ Unavailable shaded: forecast range
Green bars: the cut-off advanced; red bars: it retrogressed. Very large moves are clipped at the chart edge.
Forecast for EB-1 China
Horizon
Central estimate
Likely range (80%)
Bulletin month
3 months
Jul 2023
May 2023 – Feb 2024
Jan 2027
6 months
Aug 2023
Mar 2023 – Aug 2024
Apr 2027
12 months
Oct 2023
Jan 2023 – Jun 2025
Oct 2027
Extrapolates the recent pace with a damping factor of 0.5; the range is the 10th–90th percentile of this method’s past errors across all categories. It is a rough guide, not a prediction, and cannot foresee policy changes. How it works and how accurate it was.
Retrogression and advance history
2 retrogressions since December 2001 (the bulletin data start). Most recent changes of direction or availability:
Bulletin
Event
Before
After
Move
Jan 2023
Left Current
Current
1 Feb 2022
Apr 2021
Became Current
1 Aug 2020
Current
Sep 2019
Retrogressed
1 Jul 2016
1 Jan 2014
−912 d
Aug 2019
Retrogressed
8 May 2017
1 Jul 2016
−311 d
Apr 2018
Left Current
Current
1 Jan 2012
Oct 2017
Became Current
1 Jan 2012
Current
Jun 2017
Left Current
Current
1 Jan 2012
Oct 2016
Became Current
1 Jan 2010
Current
Aug 2016
Left Current
Current
1 Jan 2010
Oct 2007
Became Current
1 Jan 2007
Current
Sep 2007
Reopened
Unavailable
1 Jan 2007
Aug 2007
Became Unavailable
Current
Unavailable
Fiscal-year view
Fiscal year
First bulletin (Oct)
Last bulletin (Sep)
Net move (days)
Retrogression months
FY2027 (to Oct 2026)
1 Jul 2023
1 Jul 2023
+0
0
FY2026
22 Dec 2022
1 Jul 2023
+191
0
FY2025
8 Nov 2022
15 Nov 2022
+7
0
FY2024
15 Feb 2022
1 Nov 2022
+259
0
FY2023
Current
1 Feb 2022
—
0
FY2022
Current
Current
—
0
FY2021
1 Jun 2018
Current
—
0
FY2020
1 Nov 2016
1 Mar 2018
+485
0
FY2019
1 Jun 2016
1 Jan 2014
-882
2
FY2018
Current
1 Jan 2012
—
0
FY2017
Current
1 Jan 2012
—
0
FY2016
Current
1 Jan 2010
—
0
Seasonal pattern
Since October 2015, the largest average advance came in October (+400 days) and the weakest in September (-99 days). Retrogressions were most common in August and September. Fiscal years start in October, so dates often jump at the start of a year and stall or retreat near the end.
Recent bulletins
Last 24 bulletins (table)
Bulletin
Final Action Date
Date for Filing
FAD move (days)
Oct 2026
1 Jul 2023
1 Jul 2024
0
Sep 2026
1 Jul 2023
1 Dec 2023
0
Aug 2026
1 Jul 2023
1 Dec 2023
+30
Jul 2026
1 Jun 2023
1 Dec 2023
+61
Jun 2026
1 Apr 2023
1 Dec 2023
0
May 2026
1 Apr 2023
1 Dec 2023
0
Apr 2026
1 Apr 2023
1 Dec 2023
+31
Mar 2026
1 Mar 2023
1 Dec 2023
+28
Feb 2026
1 Feb 2023
1 Aug 2023
0
Jan 2026
1 Feb 2023
1 Aug 2023
+10
Dec 2025
22 Jan 2023
15 May 2023
+31
Nov 2025
22 Dec 2022
15 May 2023
0
Oct 2025
22 Dec 2022
15 May 2023
+37
Sep 2025
15 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Aug 2025
15 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Jul 2025
15 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
+7
Jun 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
May 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Apr 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Mar 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Feb 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Jan 2025
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Dec 2024
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
Nov 2024
8 Nov 2022
1 Jan 2023
0
About this category
EB-1 is the preference category for: priority workers (extraordinary ability, outstanding professors/researchers, multinational managers). This is the column for applicants born in mainland China (Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan are charged separately).