EB-2 China priority date: cut-off history, movement and forecast
As of the October 2026 Visa Bulletin, the EB-2 China Final Action Date is 1 Oct 2021, which lags the bulletin month by about 5.0 years. Over the last 12 bulletins it moved an average of 15 days per month (0.50 months of priority date per calendar month), so on pure arithmetic the backlog age is growing. Since October 2015 it has retrogressed in 3 bulletins; the largest move back was 974 days in June 2016.
1 Oct 2021Final Action Date, Oct 2026
1 Jan 2023Date for Filing, Oct 2026
5.0 yearscut-off lags bulletin month
+15 d/moavg. movement, last 12 bulletins
Chart: where the cut-off has been
Hover or focus points for values. Priority dates below the line are not yet reached; the vertical gap to the dashed diagonal is the backlog age.Final Action Date since January 2005.
Final Action DateDate for FilingNo wait (cut-off = bulletin month)○ Current ✕ Unavailable shaded: forecast range
Green bars: the cut-off advanced; red bars: it retrogressed. Very large moves are clipped at the chart edge.
Forecast for EB-2 China
Horizon
Central estimate
Likely range (80%)
Bulletin month
3 months
Oct 2021
Aug 2021 – May 2022
Jan 2027
6 months
Nov 2021
Jun 2021 – Nov 2022
Apr 2027
12 months
Jan 2022
Apr 2021 – Sep 2023
Oct 2027
Extrapolates the recent pace with a damping factor of 0.5; the range is the 10th–90th percentile of this method’s past errors across all categories. It is a rough guide, not a prediction, and cannot foresee policy changes. How it works and how accurate it was.
Retrogression and advance history
8 retrogressions since December 2001 (the bulletin data start). Most recent changes of direction or availability:
Bulletin
Event
Before
After
Move
Oct 2019
Retrogressed
1 Jan 2017
1 Jan 2015
−731 d
Sep 2018
Retrogressed
1 Mar 2015
1 Jan 2013
−789 d
Jun 2016
Retrogressed
1 Sep 2012
1 Jan 2010
−974 d
Sep 2015
Retrogressed
15 Dec 2013
1 Jan 2006
−2,905 d
Oct 2012
Reopened
Unavailable
15 Jul 2007
Jun 2012
Became Unavailable
15 Aug 2007
Unavailable
May 2012
Retrogressed
1 May 2010
15 Aug 2007
−990 d
Jul 2009
Retrogressed
15 Feb 2005
1 Jan 2000
−1,872 d
Oct 2008
Retrogressed
1 Aug 2006
1 Apr 2004
−852 d
Dec 2007
Retrogressed
1 Jan 2006
1 Jan 2003
−1,096 d
Sep 2007
Reopened
Unavailable
1 Jan 2006
Aug 2007
Became Unavailable
Current
Unavailable
Fiscal-year view
Fiscal year
First bulletin (Oct)
Last bulletin (Sep)
Net move (days)
Retrogression months
FY2027 (to Oct 2026)
1 Oct 2021
1 Oct 2021
+0
0
FY2026
1 Apr 2021
1 Sep 2021
+153
0
FY2025
22 Mar 2020
15 Dec 2020
+268
0
FY2024
1 Oct 2019
1 Mar 2020
+152
0
FY2023
8 Jun 2019
8 Jul 2019
+30
0
FY2022
1 Jul 2018
1 Apr 2019
+274
0
FY2021
1 Mar 2016
1 Jul 2018
+852
0
FY2020
1 Jan 2015
15 Jan 2016
+379
1
FY2019
1 Apr 2015
1 Jan 2017
+641
0
FY2018
22 May 2013
1 Jan 2013
-141
1
FY2017
15 Feb 2012
15 May 2013
+455
0
FY2016
1 Jan 2012
1 Jan 2010
-730
1
Seasonal pattern
Since October 2015, the largest average advance came in October (+285 days) and the weakest in September (-61 days). Retrogressions were most common in June and September. Fiscal years start in October, so dates often jump at the start of a year and stall or retreat near the end.
Recent bulletins
Last 24 bulletins (table)
Bulletin
Final Action Date
Date for Filing
FAD move (days)
Oct 2026
1 Oct 2021
1 Jan 2023
+30
Sep 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Aug 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Jul 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Jun 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
May 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Apr 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Mar 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Feb 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
0
Jan 2026
1 Sep 2021
1 Jan 2022
+92
Dec 2025
1 Jun 2021
1 Dec 2021
+61
Nov 2025
1 Apr 2021
1 Dec 2021
0
Oct 2025
1 Apr 2021
1 Dec 2021
+107
Sep 2025
15 Dec 2020
1 Jan 2021
0
Aug 2025
15 Dec 2020
1 Jan 2021
0
Jul 2025
15 Dec 2020
1 Jan 2021
+14
Jun 2025
1 Dec 2020
1 Jan 2021
+61
May 2025
1 Oct 2020
1 Nov 2020
0
Apr 2025
1 Oct 2020
1 Nov 2020
+146
Mar 2025
8 May 2020
1 Oct 2020
+16
Feb 2025
22 Apr 2020
1 Oct 2020
0
Jan 2025
22 Apr 2020
1 Oct 2020
+31
Dec 2024
22 Mar 2020
1 Oct 2020
0
Nov 2024
22 Mar 2020
1 Oct 2020
0
About this category
EB-2 is the preference category for: advanced-degree professionals and persons of exceptional ability (includes national interest waiver cases). This is the column for applicants born in mainland China (Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan are charged separately).